Kai BGR🫧
Kai BGR🫧
Hoang Sa and Truong Sa belong to Vietnam - undeniably, eternally, and without dispute 🇻🇳 The articles are to share personal views. Not investment advice, or call for speculation. Vietnamese investors please comply with Vietnamese law and Resolution 05/2025/NQ-CP
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As a content creator across multiple platforms, my focus is to deliver market news, insights, and narratives in the clearest and most transparent way possible. I spend time researching market movements, analyzing trends, and sharing perspectives so the community can better understand what is happening in the crypto space.
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The article about BTC's June outlook from boss @RichardDang is very good
It's just the beginning of June and the market has already beaten everyone down badly. All bad news, it's very likely the market will backtest one more deep wave before stabilizing.
The recent crash smells like a domino panic-sell after Strategy dumped a bit of BTC.
What I'm wondering is, is this just the prelude to a big dump from whales, or simply small holders stepping on each other to sell off due to FUD?
Personally, I'm zooming out a bit. I think October will be the explosive peak of this year.
If you check history, October always runs extremely hot. Especially this year with the US elections and the ETF money flowing back in, the momentum will be tremendous.
So my view remains unchanged: the stormy period of June - July - August is an opportunity to DCA.
Are you guys holding USD now or fully loaded waiting for October?
Dyor.
Richard Dang | Giàu Chậm Arc
This is an article about BTC outlook for June
After the article accurately predicted the peak of the rally in early May at the 82-83K range by Rich, many people have messaged asking for the June outlook, so below is the complete article for your reference.
1) June is a relatively bad month for holders (but not the worst yet)
A scenario Rich is observing: BTC is likely to return to backtest the February wick. That means BTC is moving back to the 60K zone to test the crowd's psychological reaction.
- If the market is bullish, BTC will continue to go down. This signal can be observed through the Bitcoin funding rate index on exchanges. Focus on monitoring the 3 main exchanges: Binance, Hyperliquid, and Coinbase.
- If the market is bearish (negative funding), this is a positive signal. The market will experience a strong rebound at the 60K zone.
2) The market is returning to the nature of a downtrend season
Similar to the 2022 downtrend, recently BTC has continuously received negative news such as:
- BlackRock wildly dumping BTC
- ETF outflows continuously with billions of dollars leaving the market
- MicroStrategy selling BTC
- Especially the mischievous return of Mt. Gox every downtrend season
Those who have been in the market for many seasons are probably very familiar with the story that Mt. Gox’s appearance means the market is in a downtrend phase.
Not to mention in June there are a series of negative macro news such as Japan + Europe preparing to raise interest rates (tightening liquidity), Fed holding rates steady but Kevin Warsh is likely to be hawkish given the current inflation situation.
It can be said this will be the worst phase for BTC in Q2 and Q3.
3) Investor actions in June
If you are waiting for trading opportunities in June, the safest is to sit tight and wait for the opportunity to come or you can join Rich’s community here where signals are continuously sent to everyone:
The market pattern at this stage is a retracement before a drop, and after the drop, another retracement, so don’t worry if you missed a good entry.
Most people still think Web3 adoption is mainly a technology problem.
I’m starting to think it’s more of an experience problem.
The projects that quietly stand out aren’t always the loudest. They’re the ones solving friction in different ways.
Take @quipnetwork for example. Building a quantum resistant internet sounds incredibly technical, but what caught my attention is their human focused approach. Security only matters if everyday users can actually understand and benefit from it.
Then there’s @TheARCTERMINAL tackling decentralized AI from another angle. A lot of AI ecosystems struggle because systems don’t communicate efficiently. Better integrations and infrastructure could end up being more important than raw model performance.
On the consumer side, projects like @sleepagotchi are making Web3 participation feel lighter and more engaging. Instead of static ownership, partnerships and rewards create reasons for users to actually stay involved.
And in DeFi, @TermMaxFi reminds me that accessibility matters more than people admit. A clean UI, simple dashboards, and lower cognitive load can make the difference between curiosity and long term retention.
Different sectors, different approaches.
But the same idea keeps showing up:
the future probably belongs to projects making powerful technology feel simple enough for normal people to actually use
The two giants still have their own strategies regarding BTC
Strive bought an additional 2,500 BTC.
Their total holdings have now reached 19,000 BTC, with an average purchase price of about $74,000.
While Strategy just sold 32 BTC for the first time in 4 years, Strive continues to buy aggressively.
Two opposite directions in the same period.
I see this as a clear example that each institution has a different approach to Bitcoin.
Not everyone follows the same strategy.
One more step is needed to push BTC back to that liquidity zone
the strategy of selling a small amount of BTC is only just beginning. Will there be major news leading to a domino effect of panic selling on BTC ?
Ted
$BTC has taken out all the downside liquidity, and we will now pump to new highs.
You will soon hear Moonboys saying this on the timeline.
But the reality is there's a massive liquidity cluster around $55,000-$65,000 which will eventually be taken out.
That doesn't mean a bounceback won't happen here, but Bitcoin hasn't bottomed yet.
Users stuck with money must be very happy now, the important thing is whether they can get a refund or not?
I've seen many projects skip auditing old contracts or assume the code runs fine. In reality, bugs have no expiration date. A single wrong line of code can cause funds to be frozen until now.
This story is both interesting and scary. Interesting because on-chain transparency can save funds after nearly a decade. Scary because a small error in the contract can cause users' money to be frozen indefinitely.
WhalePiz
There is $2M stuck in a contract since the Ethereum ICO in 2016.
Almost 9 years no one could touch it.
Now a whitehat developer has just unlocked that money.
Crypto really is a place where money can "hibernate" for nearly a decade,
then one day wake up just because someone skilled enough reread some old lines of code.
Do you think this is the beauty of on-chain,
or a reminder that a smart contract bug can lock money until the next generations?
That's right, boss
I also disagree with the idea of ‘only DeFi + DePIN left’. The Meme economy is still continuously emerging and proving to have a very strong appeal to the masses, and onchain perp volume is stable.
In my opinion, web3 is evolving, not dying.
The real death is for projects that fail to deliver a product.
Martin Ho
Kyle Samani - co-founder of Multicoin Capital just said: “Web3 is dead. Crypto now is only DeFi and DePIN.”
I still see everyone showing off the money they make from web3 every day, so what’s dead about it, general? 😶
I also don’t agree that crypto is only DeFi and DePIN; if you say Prepdex and Meme, then that’s more believable.
Strategy just sold 32 BTC.
Sounds small...
but what the market reacts to is not the quantity.
It's the signal.
Because this is one of the rare times the "national diamond hand" has agreed to sell.
The question I'm thinking about:
is this just a normal financial management move...
or a sign that the "buy regardless" phase is slowing down?
Personally, I think:
32 BTC almost doesn't affect supply.
But it can affect sentiment.
And everyone knows in crypto...
often the narrative moves faster than the price
If BTC holds a strong support zone after this news,
I feel more bullish.
Because a market that can absorb bad news and still stand strong
is usually not as weak as people think. (Barron's)
This article is for reference only, not investment advice.