CryptoPainter
CryptoPainter
An old friend calls me a "painter", technical/data analysis and quantitative trading, providing various tricky angles to see the market, and using time to leverage. The real account is an agent account, a self-evolving strategy system is being tested, please do not copy!
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Events that drive prices up always have a clear cause...
But the reasons behind price drops are often "vague"...
Here's a simple tip: when there's a major crash or significant negative event in the crypto space, as long as an institution or exchange collapses causing a flash crash in price, that's an opportunity!
Because a slow decline means the market doesn't want you to leave now, but expects you to panic-sell at a much lower level...
So it's really hard to predict the bottom in advance, but you can wait for the market to send out a warning signal...
CryptoPainter
The weekly bull-bear indicator shared last time is still interesting...
Despite the sharp drop in BTC on the weekly chart, the volume bars below have not significantly decreased, which precisely indicates that as long as the market fluctuates, the overall trend is positive.
The current structure is very similar to 2022. Within the same timeframe, as long as the red volume bars continue to shrink, the bottom will be confirmed within 4 months.
Martingale can actually yield low-risk profits, provided you use spot trading and keep the annual target return rate below 10%...
I know a quant veteran who has been doing this for years, managing large funds steadily because he only aims to earn a little each year. The recent market movements are basically giving him opportunities to buy the dip and dollar-cost average...
No choice, he's satisfied with a stable 8% annual return...
If you use Martingale aiming for an 800% annual return, the risk isn't 100 times that of the former, but 10,000 times...
Those who understand, understand. Don't ask me how I know...
Trump: "With employment data this good, the stock market should go up, right?"
It's quite the opposite 😅……
CryptoPainter
Non-farm payrolls greatly exceeded expectations, and the probability of a rate cut this year is now zero!
What's even worse is that the market is pricing in a rate hike in January next year...
Wash just took office and is already facing this situation, Trump’s side is completely unable to respond, hahaha 😂...
At the next FOMC meeting, if he dares to mention a rate cut, the market will directly believe that the Fed's independence no longer exists...
If you look at the industries with new job additions, you'll find that Americans have been living very comfortably lately, as hotels and the service industry have grown the most...
So far, there is no sign of any negative impact of AI popularization on employment. What happened to those who previously hyped AI as a job killer?
The good news is the dollar has started to strengthen, and after the FOMC, exiting gold should be more cost-effective...
If X hadn't banned Infofi back then, @KaitoAI would definitely be the hottest star right now...
Because the more bearish the market, the more small investors in crypto need to hustle and scrape by...
Unfortunately, there's no "if." Hopefully, a more fun Yaps market can be created next. After these months of challenges, Kaito might come up with some new tricks!
The Rhino modeling skills I self-taught back then haven't gone to waste!
I designed a floor drain myself and printed it out...
It fits perfectly and is used in the bathroom...
If there had been a convenient printer when I was in college, I would definitely have started a business in this field, and I wouldn't be in the crypto world today...
The new strategy has been in live testing for almost a week, and I really want to invest a large amount of capital...
But last time, after investing a large amount, I started losing continuously, which is really frustrating...
After trying everything, AI assistance, genetic algorithms, and real-time evolution were all proven to have no actual profit-making ability. In the end, I still returned to the strategy I wrote myself, just with a lot of optimization done by AI...
So, in the past three months, I have basically been paying tuition fees, and without any returns at that...
CryptoPainter
The new ASR strategy system is set up and online. This time, leverage has been comprehensively reduced, taking a slow and steady approach to optimization!
If the strategy's live performance is overall satisfactory and meets expectations after 3 months, I will update the new strategy framework to the ASR-VC indicator.
This time, it should come with multiple parameter groups for different trading pairs.
