
Phyrex.Ni
Phyrex.Ni
No extravagance, no waste
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From my personal perspective. If your main sources of income are U.S. stocks or cryptocurrencies, then being a tax resident in a country or region with no capital gains tax is the best choice.

FinTax (加密税务答疑版)
Receiving a tax reminder only means that you have been flagged as suspicious by the system. Whether, how, and how much tax you need to pay depends on subsequent circumstances.
It is recommended to prepare in three steps:
1. First, review your overseas income situation yourself: what type of income it is, in which jurisdiction, and which parts have most likely already been reported back;
2. Analyze which type of income is reasonably taxed under which criteria. For example, year-end bonuses for high earners are generally not included in the comprehensive income of the current year but are more reasonably taxed separately;
3. Check if there are applicable tax credits, dual tax residency issues, tax treaties, and other related matters.
At the same time, maintain active communication with the tax authorities

The just-released non-farm payroll data is fairly decent. The unemployment rate has consistently stayed at 4.3%, indicating that the US employment situation has not significantly worsened. Although non-farm employment is lower than the previous figure, it still exceeded expectations. Additionally, wage changes were almost entirely within expectations. Overall, this non-farm payroll data is at least not bad.

Phyrex.Ni
In April, the US CPI and PPI data were both higher than the previous values and expectations, but the market had a better understanding of the PCE data for April. Although the annual rate data released today were also higher than the previous values, they were within the expected range. However, compared to the increases in CPI and PPI, the rise in PCE data was not significant.
Even the monthly rate data were lower than the previous values. Both the core PCE monthly rate and the PCE monthly rate were lower than before. This is mainly because the weighting of PCE differs from CPI; shocks like energy, gasoline, and rent are more easily amplified in CPI.
CPI reflects out-of-pocket prices for urban consumers, while PCE covers total personal consumption expenditures, with weights adjusted according to changes in consumption behavior.
Simply put, if oil prices rise, CPI directly shows "gasoline prices rose a lot," while PCE also considers whether consumers have changed their actual consumption patterns, such as driving less, consuming less, or switching to cheaper alternatives. Therefore, the same price shock may have different weights in PCE.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve focuses most on the core PCE data, which is still acceptable, having only risen 0.1% compared to March. The market should temporarily breathe a slight sigh of relief.
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This purge of existing users was probably anticipated. The current situation is just like on September 4, 2017, when all cryptocurrency exchanges within China were shut down, and gradually cryptocurrency exchanges were banned from operating in China. It's been almost 9 years now, so what was the outcome?
Hard blockades are very difficult to enforce; ultimately, these "exchanges" just relocate overseas. Although the main entities move, the primary customer base remains the same people. Then they start aggressively shutting down OTC, and some OTC activities are even directly criminalized.
Of course, it cannot be denied that after long-term propaganda, cryptocurrency within China is still treated like a flood monster, always associated with scams. Every now and then, you see self-media claiming bitcoin:native is a tool for Americans to harvest the whole world. Maybe in some time, AI will face the same treatment.
I believe that if the AI sector ever experiences a significant correction, many passionate young people will come out to protest.
Received a message from @jason_chen998 before going to sleep and noticed that ethereum:0x7977bf3e7e0c954d12cdca3e013adaf57e0b06e0 has doubled. Is this the prelude to the World Cup starting?
Opinion has been quiet for a long time, but finally chose this way to remind everyone that the battle for dominance in the prediction market is about to begin.

The WTI at 97 dollars hasn't been bought yet. Although I don't necessarily believe everything Trump says is true, it currently seems that the US and Iran are indeed trying to avoid further escalation of the war, and the Strait of Hormuz is the bargaining chip in this conflict. The US is blockading Iranian ports, Iran is blockading Hormuz, but Hormuz does not belong to Iran.
Today, some friends suggested that the US might be deliberately raising oil prices to devalue the dollar. I strongly disagree with this view. Indeed, if oil prices rise to 150 dollars, it means one dollar can buy less oil, so the dollar is relatively devalued against oil.
However, US debt, wages, taxes, military spending, social security, healthcare, and national debt interest are all denominated in dollars, not paid in oil. If the US owes 150 dollars, it doesn't mean it can repay with just one barrel of oil because oil prices have risen to 150 dollars. The US repays debt in dollars, not oil.
Moreover, high oil prices are not purely beneficial to the US. The US still imports a large amount of crude oil, especially different types needed by refineries. The US is a major oil producer but also a super consumer. High oil prices benefit shale oil, energy companies, and some export chains, but the costs are passed on to gasoline, diesel, aviation, logistics, agriculture, manufacturing, and ordinary consumers.
Therefore, high oil prices are not a perfect tool for the US to "plunder the world"; they are more like a double-edged sword.
Although it can hit energy importers like China, Europe, Japan, and India, it also pushes up inflation in the US. The inflation data in the past month has clearly rebounded, and with rising inflation, the Federal Reserve finds it harder to cut interest rates, and the US fiscal interest burden becomes more difficult to ease.
So, oil at 150 dollars is not necessarily a cure for US finances; it might actually be poison. Therefore, I think Trump, whether from the perspective of the midterm elections or the stock market needing to rise, will not allow oil prices to stay high for long. At least at this stage, high oil prices are equivalent to Trump digging his own grave.
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Phyrex.Ni
This time, I added short positions on WTI at $93, $94, and $96 respectively. Actually, thinking about it now, I was a bit too optimistic about $85. Although I expected some fluctuations, since I rarely do short-term trades, I didn't have the concept of taking profits early and exiting. This led to another round of rollercoaster trading. Although overall I am still profitable, I could have done one more round.
Of course, these are not the main points. The main point is that I still believe there is no problem with shorting WTI. Even now, Trump hasn't said he doesn't intend to negotiate, Iran hasn't escalated the conflict further, the US midterm elections are coming soon, and the blockade of Iran's coast is also critical.
In this situation, I think the more both sides are entangled, the more it indicates that the negotiations have reached a detailed and critical phase, with a stance of no concessions. Most likely, the rest will be a grind. Be sure to watch out for liquidation prices; I am still above $120.
The current average price is $93.48, with a current loss of 29%.

Investors from BlackRock and Fidelity are still leading the sell-off, but the volume of selling is relatively small, at least much better than during the previous market panic. Currently, it's basically investors who bought ethereum:native in the last two to three months who are exiting. The sentiment from MSTR selling bitcoin:native has not yet dissipated, so we still need to wait a bit longer.
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Phyrex.Ni
Monday's data for ethereum:native was still pretty good, mainly because ETH had already dropped below $2,000 by Monday. The reaction from traditional investors was quite decent, with BlackRock's investors selling the most, while Fidelity's investors did some bottom-fishing on Friday. It's estimated that those bottom-fishing investors ran on Monday. Currently, ETH almost has no independence.
Of course, this time bitcoin:native showed independence, but I guess no one wants that kind of independence to happen to ETH. However, putting all hopes on a single commercial company and expecting that company to never sell any BTC or ETH is itself unscientific. Let's just take this as a demystification.
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This time, I added short positions on WTI at $93, $94, and $96 respectively. Actually, thinking about it now, I was a bit too optimistic about $85. Although I expected some fluctuations, since I rarely do short-term trades, I didn't have the concept of taking profits early and exiting. This led to another round of rollercoaster trading. Although overall I am still profitable, I could have done one more round.
Of course, these are not the main points. The main point is that I still believe there is no problem with shorting WTI. Even now, Trump hasn't said he doesn't intend to negotiate, Iran hasn't escalated the conflict further, the US midterm elections are coming soon, and the blockade of Iran's coast is also critical.
In this situation, I think the more both sides are entangled, the more it indicates that the negotiations have reached a detailed and critical phase, with a stance of no concessions. Most likely, the rest will be a grind. Be sure to watch out for liquidation prices; I am still above $120.
The current average price is $93.48, with a current loss of 29%.

Phyrex.Ni
Continue to maintain a short position on WTI, and continue to hold the view that the first target is $85, but no stop-loss is set at $85.
No additional positions were added today, but if it exceeds my entry price of $93, I will consider starting to add positions.
Previously, I was prepared to add positions only above $95.
In the early morning, people were still complaining that the fees were too high. As long as you're not foolish, you will definitely adjust. As a result, the adjustment happened this afternoon. Although it is "temporary," if everyone competes to lower fees, this temporary period will last as long as the "temporary" ceasefires between the US and Iran.

Phyrex.Ni
Today I saw many friends saying that the @binancezh stock system is not perfect, which reminded me of the previous @BinanceWallet. Back then, the criticism of the wallet was even harsher. At that time, Binance's wallet was basically a nightmare level, but just one Alpha update completely reversed the wallet's status and also gave the wallet team more references for fixes.
Moreover, when it comes to taking advice, I think Binance is doing pretty well. If there’s a problem, people complain, and if they can fix it after the complaints, that’s great. Regarding the fee issue, I remember I complained for several days about the funding rate of CLUSDT being too high, and it was adjusted. This time, even more people are complaining about high fees, so it might be adjusted soon as well.
The past month should be a crazy time for all companies to compete for talent. I think as long as people aren’t foolish, many problems should be quickly fixed.
Today I saw many friends saying that the @binancezh stock system is not perfect, which reminded me of the previous @BinanceWallet. Back then, the criticism of the wallet was even harsher. At that time, Binance's wallet was basically a nightmare level, but just one Alpha update completely reversed the wallet's status and also gave the wallet team more references for fixes.
Moreover, when it comes to taking advice, I think Binance is doing pretty well. If there’s a problem, people complain, and if they can fix it after the complaints, that’s great. Regarding the fee issue, I remember I complained for several days about the funding rate of CLUSDT being too high, and it was adjusted. This time, even more people are complaining about high fees, so it might be adjusted soon as well.
The past month should be a crazy time for all companies to compete for talent. I think as long as people aren’t foolish, many problems should be quickly fixed.
Phyrex.Ni
A super detailed interpretation of @binance's stock trading — an ultra-cautious layered broker license model
After thoroughly understanding Binance's stock model, I have to admire Binance's extreme caution in compliance. It can be said that most cryptocurrency exchanges' stock models I have seen so far are compliant, but Binance does not just comply; it adopts a more cautious "license" layered model.
Many exchanges use Alpaca, a US-compliant broker, as their underlying broker, which is an open secret. Although Binance also uses Alpaca, it adds an extra layer with Nest Trading, a financial company registered in ADGM.
(Financial Firm, FSP number 260000, effective January 5, 2026. Nest Trading is not allowed to hold or control client funds or client investments.)
What does Nest Trading do? Before this, many might not have known exactly what Binance is.
Binance now resembles more of a brand or group rather than a single company. It's like how Google actually belongs to Alphabet.
Under the regulatory framework of Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM), Binance has three core entities:
Nest Exchange Limited: Exchange
Nest Clearing and Custody Limited: Clearing & Custody
Nest Trading Limited: Broker-Dealer
From a traditional finance perspective, this means Binance has split what used to be completed internally by one exchange into several parts: exchange, clearinghouse, custody institution, and broker.
This structure is more like Nasdaq handling trading, DTCC handling clearing, and brokers handling clients and orders, rather than the old model where one exchange handled trading, clearing, custody, OTC, wealth management, and conversions all at once.
Nest Trading mainly handles:
1. Arranging Deals in Investments
2. Dealing in Investments as Agent
3. Dealing in Investments as Principal
4. Managing Assets
5. Arranging Custody
6. Providing Money Services
In summary, Nest Trading is essentially a Broker-Dealer + Wealth Platform + OTC Desk company, meaning it is specifically responsible for broker services.
Therefore, #Binance does not directly connect Alpaca through the exchange entity but routes through Nest Trading. The advantage is that Binance does not use the exchange entity to undertake securities brokerage services directly but places securities-related business under the Broker-Dealer entity Nest Trading, achieving clearer business layering from a licensing perspective.
This is the "license" layering I mentioned at the beginning.
An exchange connecting directly to Alpaca can also be compliant. As long as the underlying broker, account opening, KYC, trading, clearing, custody, dividends, and corporate actions are all properly handled, the model itself is fine. But Binance's scale in users, trading volume, regulatory history, and global coverage is huge.
If Binance used the exchange entity to connect directly to Alpaca, it would be easily perceived as Binance itself providing US stock brokerage services globally.
But with the added layer of Nest Trading, the logic becomes: users place orders on Binance's front end, Binance provides the trading interface and account experience, Nest Trading as the broker entity undertakes and arranges securities transactions, then routes orders to Alpaca, which handles actual US stock execution, clearing, settlement, custody, dividends, and corporate actions.
This is license layering.
PS: This is also why I emphasize that Binance consists of three core entities, with Nest Trading being one of the core entities, just used differently in terms of licensing.
This way, the boundaries of each licensed entity are clearer: Binance handles the front-end interface and account experience, Nest Trading handles securities brokerage and order arrangement, and Alpaca handles execution, clearing, settlement, and custody. For regulators and users, each type of financial service is undertaken by a corresponding licensed entity.
This is more cautious than simply "exchange connecting to broker API."
For users, the biggest significance of this model is that on Binance, you see buying US stocks and ETFs with assets like USDT, USDC, BNB, but the underlying stock trading is arranged through the broker entity Nest Trading and then executed, cleared, settled, and custodied by Alpaca. Thus, liquidity comes from the real US stock market, and corporate actions can be handled by the underlying broker system, such as dividends, stock splits, reverse splits, ticker changes, and delisting.
So Binance's upgrade in stock trading is not just allowing users to buy US stocks and ETFs on the exchange but upgrading itself from a single cryptocurrency exchange to a global multi-asset financial gateway.
By using its own Broker-Dealer entity Nest Trading under the ADGM framework to connect to Alpaca, rather than directly using the exchange entity to undertake securities brokerage services, Binance retains the front-end user experience while clearly assigning securities brokerage, order arrangement, execution, clearing, settlement, and custody to distinct licensed entities.
On the basis of compliance, this reduces license mismatches and regulatory interpretation costs caused by directly conducting securities brokerage business with the exchange entity.
Hence, the license layering model of Binance front end + Nest Trading broker entity + Alpaca execution, clearing, and custody exists.

Actually, the price trend of bitcoin:native doesn't bother me much. I have always been a firm holder of Bitcoin. The current decline is mostly some investors venting their dissatisfaction with MSTR, but for me, this is a good thing. Instead of constantly worrying whether MSTR will sell BTC, it's better to let that worry be dispelled. Michael could sell at any time, and maybe next quarter he might sell even more BTC.
This kind of decline driven purely by emotions, I personally think the market will gradually recover. Although this is an "independent market" for BTC, it is not due to any core issues with BTC, nor is it because BTC's liquidity is in question. Fundamentally, BTC at $60,000 and BTC at $80,000 are no different. Give investors more time to figure it out themselves.
The US and Iran remain adversaries who are strangely close; I don't even know what to say. Trump today again denied reports that communication between the US and Iran has stopped, calling it fake news. He said negotiations continue every day, including in recent days. He also reiterated that Iran must reach an agreement, and Iran itself has said it is ready to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
I saw that although WTI prices have risen, Brent's increase is not obvious. Now the price difference between WTI and Brent is just a bit over $2, which likely reflects greater pressure from the US, but globally, it doesn't seem like there will be major issues between the US and Iran that would prevent peace from being maintained.
Back to Bitcoin data, in the past two days, indeed, MSTR selling bitcoin:native has caused investor sentiment to be tense, but these investors are mainly short-term investors. Long-term investors do not bet Bitcoin's future on a single commercial company. I believe the market will self-correct this purely emotional panic selling.
However, indeed, today I saw the highest single-day turnover recently. This turnover volume already indicates many short-term investors have started to panic.
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Phyrex.Ni
The first working day of June was another critical hit, again caused by the US and Iran. The two countries continue to push each other to the limit. You say there are no talks, but both sides are still negotiating. However, when you ask about the progress, both sides deny it. Over the weekend, complications already appeared, and by Monday, the situation was still tangled. Until early morning, Trump stated that talks with the Islamic Republic of Iran are ongoing and progressing rapidly.
But Iran announced that the US-backed Israeli actions in Lebanon and Gaza will strengthen the determination of the resistance axis. Other fronts may be activated. Traffic in the Mandeb Strait may align with the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. This means that a conflict could break out at any disagreement. Honestly, it's really exhausting.
Despite all the dissatisfaction, trading must continue. Today, taking advantage of the rise, I pulled the price of CLUSDT up to $93.1. The liquidation price is still above $120. Currently, there is a slight profit. Fortunately, the current funding rate is very low. I've held the position for a week and even earned some funding fees. It feels like the more the US and Iran tug back and forth, the more it indicates that the negotiations have reached a very detailed stage.
Let's keep watching. As long as it doesn't really return to a state of war, the rise in oil prices is very likely temporary.
Back to Bitcoin data, today $MSTR sold 32 native bitcoins, causing some investor sentiment to collapse. After all, MSTR holds too much BTC, and the market worries that if MSTR starts to dump BTC, the BTC price might not hold steady.
Because of this, Bitcoin experienced a significant surge in interest, with market turnover increasing sharply. Of course, short-term investors still dominate, and early investors have not shown obvious signs of selling.
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